ModvenRun an Opportunity ID →

Work

Most of our work is for internal consumption. Here are four select public projects.

Four completely different markets operated on age-old assumptions. Each one is being disrupted because we identified the opportunity.

Mobile app · Live

Brigata

Group travel, paid for together.

The signal

The assumption: team travel needs one volunteer with a credit card. The record: the manager fronts the hotel block, chases sixteen families for their share, and reconciles it at midnight, while deposits go out before anyone has committed and the surplus stays wherever it landed. Every family, every season, and nobody had priced what that cost.

The mechanism

Brigata puts the whole weekend in every family’s pocket. The manager sends one link. Each family sees its own share, chooses what it is in for, and nobody is charged until the team locks. Brigata’s Desk books the block, mails everyone when a game moves, and settles every line against what it actually paid. If the room came in under quote, the difference goes back to your card.

Where it stands

Spun out as its own company. Live since 2024, with more than $2M in travel budgets allocated on the platform.

joinbrigata.com ↗
The TYO work system

Hardware · Pre-order

TYO

Move everything. Carry nothing.

The signal

The assumption: gear is bought one case at a time. The record: photographers, film crews, and drone teams move a whole studio to a new location every day, with power in one box, tools in another, and the laptop in a backpack. Setup eats the morning and packing eats the night, and the industry had never sized the hours.

The mechanism

TYO is a powered, modular work system. The cases stack, lock, and roll as one unit, and power runs through the entire stack, so the rig arrives ready to work. Designed, machined, and assembled in the USA. We set the business model and the brand, ran the fundraising, and took it to market on a Founding Creators deposit model.

Where it stands

Spun out of the studio as its own company. More than 4,000 pre-orders. Fulfillment under way.

mytyo.com ↗
terminalphaALPHAS · THIS WEEK
SalesMarketingBoth

SIGNALS · IN MARKET

Ardent Fabrication91

4 signals · Sales

Keel Logistics78

3 signals · Marketing

WHAT MOVED

FILING8-K · Parent co. · Sep 12

Supplier agreement terminated; replacement not named

HIRINGJob posts · 14d

ERP analyst, plant controller, buyer

AD CREATIVEMeta · LinkedIn · 9d

Capacity replaced lead time in 9 of 12 variants

OPTIONSParent co. · 2d

Call volume 4.2× the 30-day mean

PRIVATE · OHIO · METAL FAB

Ardent Fabrication

ALPHA SCORE

91

WHAT TO DO

Call the plant controller this week with a capacity-guarantee offer. Lead with lead time, not price.

IMPACT

$1.4M

annual contract at their run rate

WINDOW

21 days

window before the RFP closes

SOURCES

4

sources joined into one read

WHY NOW

An 8-K terminated their primary supplier with no replacement named. Three purchasing and ERP roles opened in fourteen days. Their ad creative switched from lead-time to capacity messaging. They are shopping, and they are in a hurry.

Send to SalesOpen the accountWatch

Market intelligence · In development

Terminalpha

Signals in, alphas out.

The signal

The assumption: market intelligence means knowing what happened. The record: the signals that say a market is about to move already exist. A filing changes, hiring spikes in one department, a competitor’s ad creative pivots, options flow goes unusual. They sit in four places, nobody joins them, and by the time a sales or marketing team notices, the window has closed.

The mechanism

Terminalpha reads those sources together and turns the cluster into an alpha: a specific thing for sales or marketing to do this week, and what it does to the business in dollars, time, and lift. It is the same move we make inside an Opportunity ID, run continuously against the market instead of once against the records.

Where it stands

In active development.

SUPALINERLive LinesNext UpFuturesThe WireLIVE · 6 BOOKS
MLBTUE 6:15 PM
REDS@BRAV
SPREAD
+1.5-101
DK
SPREAD
-1.5-114
FD
TOTAL
O 6.5-108
MGM
TOTAL
U 6.5-110
CZR
MONEY
-155
BET
MONEY
+155
ESPN
MLBTUE 6:40 PM
MARL@CUBS
SPREAD
-1.5-112
FD
SPREAD
+1.5-107
MGM
TOTAL
O 8-112
CZR
TOTAL
U 8-111
BET
MONEY
-149
ESPN
MONEY
+174
DK
NFLSUN 1:00 PM
BUF@MIA
SPREAD
-3-110
MGM
SPREAD
+3-105
CZR
TOTAL
O 47.5-108
BET
TOTAL
U 47.5-112
ESPN
MONEY
-162
DK
MONEY
+140
FD
MLBTUE 7:05 PM
BREW@PHIL
SPREAD
-1.5-106
CZR
SPREAD
+1.5-112
BET
TOTAL
O 6.5-109
ESPN
TOTAL
U 6.5-106
DK
MONEY
-155
FD
MONEY
+149
MGM
NHLTUE 7:30 PM
CHI@DAL
SPREAD
+1.5-190
BET
SPREAD
-1.5+160
ESPN
TOTAL
O 6-115
DK
TOTAL
U 6-105
FD
MONEY
+142
MGM
MONEY
-168
CZR
NBAWED 8:00 PM
BOS@NYK
SPREAD
-4.5-110
ESPN
SPREAD
+4.5-108
DK
TOTAL
O 221-110
FD
TOTAL
U 221-112
MGM
MONEY
-188
CZR
MONEY
+158
BET

Web app · Live

Supaliner

The alpha was never in the pick. It was in the price.

The signal

The assumption: the price is the price. The record: six sportsbooks post six different numbers on the same bet, and almost everyone takes whatever their one book shows. Nobody handicaps worse than the next person; they pay more for the same outcome. Across a season of identical bets that is real money, and the industry had no reason to point it out.

The mechanism

Supaliner puts every book on one card and lets color do the reading. Green is the best price on the board. Gold is the best price on a book you already hold. A pulse means our models expect the number to move. One tap opens the slip. The site proves the thesis live: two bankrolls, the same forty-odd bets, one taking a single book and one taking the best line, and the gap between them is the product.

Where it stands

Live and in revenue. Built in about ten weeks.

supaliner.com ↗

What they have in common

Four markets, one opportunity DNA.

The same four genes show up every time: a signal the market had already recorded, an assumption the record disagreed with, an alpha sized before anything was built, and the mechanism that captured it with the downside capped. That is exactly what an Opportunity ID looks for in your quote log. And when what we find is bigger than a feature, there is a second path: two of the four here were spun out and funded, and we bring the investors we know when a client wants to take it.

SignalAssumptionAlphaMechanism

Start here

Where do you suspect the value is hiding?

Tell us the hunch and what your systems can export. Ten business days later the Opportunity ID comes back signed, with numbers on it.